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MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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Mischiefs is Looking for a New Leadership Team
We are looking for a new editorial leadership team!
The Staff
Jun 26, 20232 min read

The debt limit bill passes the House
What the House's passage of the debt limit bill tells us about the speakership of Kevin McCarthy and political parties in Congress.
Matthew Green
Jun 1, 20234 min read


The struggle to select a Speaker
The historic and dramatic election for Speaker underscores some basic features of Congress and congressional parties.
Matthew Green
Jan 8, 20236 min read


The Speaker Fight through the Eyes of Lauren Boebert
Lauren Boebert had an awesome week, and not many people in the House did. She seemed to know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em.
Seth Masket
Jan 7, 20234 min read


Democrats should propose a plurality rule for Speaker elections
Democrats could make a point of order at the conclusion of a Speaker ballot that a plurality is sufficient to win
Gregory Koger
Jan 4, 20233 min read


Did Republican-Leaning Polls "Flood the Zone" in 2022?
2022 saw a rise in Republican-leaning pollsters as Election Day approached, which may have biased some aggregate forecasts.
The Staff
Dec 15, 20224 min read

Could a bipartisan coalition elect the next Speaker?
State legislatures have sometimes chosen leaders with cross-party coalitions, but conditions in the U.S. House make it unlikely
Matthew Green
Dec 14, 20224 min read


Trump's Still Outside the GOP Establishment. That might matter more than you think.
The past couple of weeks have produced some very ambiguous news about the future of Trump and the GOP. One of the most prominent...
Julia Azari
Nov 20, 20225 min read

The States Swing Both Ways
Some states voted a lot more Democratic in 2022 than they did in 2020, and some voted a lot more Republican. Is this unusual?
Seth Masket
Nov 13, 20222 min read


These Two Big Unknowns Make the 2022 Midterms Unusually Unpredictable
No one knows if Trump coalition will turnout. And no one knows whether Dobbs will disrupt the usual midterm backlash
Jonathan M. Ladd
Nov 4, 20222 min read


Tomorrow’s Narratives Today!
We don't know the election results yet, but we know what pundits are going to say.
Seth Masket
Nov 2, 20224 min read

Assessing the “Commitment to America”
Like other congressional party platforms, it isn’t likely to influence the election -- but it does serve other purposes.
Matthew Green
Oct 5, 20223 min read


Journalists Sitting On Quotes Is Not Changing Events
Reporters holding back juicy quotes is not affecting the outcome of events. The same information is almost always already out there.
Seth Masket
Sep 29, 20223 min read


Democratic backsliding is happening. Good thing we already know what to do.
Our ancestors taught us how to defeat autocracy in the U.S.; we should heed them. It's tempting to start a 10-year retrospective on...
Jennifer N. Victor
Sep 29, 20226 min read


Political parties in Congress: a ten-year retrospective
Congressional parties have changed in the past decade -- and differently across parties and chambers.
Matthew Green
Sep 27, 20223 min read


Political Science Went Public. American Democracy Got Worse.
What the last decade has shown us about polarization, leadership, and institutions.
Julia Azari
Sep 27, 20225 min read


With or Without Parties?
Are we still better off with parties than without them? What we've learned about their vulnerabilities and dangers in the past decade.
Seth Masket
Sep 27, 20224 min read

Are the Forecast Models just plain Wrong?
In 2022, what traditional forecast models are telling is wildly different from what everything else is telling us. Here's why.
Seth Masket
Aug 24, 20224 min read


Dobbs and the Sorting of America
by Casey Burgat Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) may be right (well, at least about one part of one thing): the institution-shaking Supreme...
The Staff
Aug 17, 20224 min read


Republicans Doing Normal Party Stuff in Colorado
Something interesting happened in last week's primary elections in Colorado. In several key races, the Republican Party seemed to rally...
Seth Masket
Jul 6, 20225 min read
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