Seth Masket
The Worst Legacy of January 6th - Making Insurrection Partisan
The legacy of Jan 6th, like Covid, didn't need to be partisan but has nonetheless become so, making it all the harder to deal with.
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MISCHIEFS OF FACTION
Reflections on Parties and Their Place in Politics
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Matthew Green
Sep 22, 20214 min read
Are Democrats retaliating against Republicans who voted to undo the 2020 election?
Inter-party punishments for the events of January 6th may be less widespread than they seem.
Matthew Green
Jan 12, 20215 min read
From freedom to sedition
How the House Freedom Caucus abandoned its constitutional conservatism and led an effort to subvert the 2020 presidential election.
Matthew Green
Jan 7, 20214 min read
A dark day
The violent attack on the U.S. Congress put a glaring spotlight on two disturbing features of contemporary American politics.
Matthew Green
Dec 29, 20205 min read
The politics of governing with a tiny majority
Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats will be tested by their party’s smaller size.
Seth Masket
Dec 23, 20204 min read
Lessons from 2020 (that I can't yet prove)
Some political lessons we can learn from 2020, even if we don't have all the evidence yet.
Matthew Green
Dec 13, 20204 min read
When ideology trumps democracy
Reelection concerns motivated many House Republicans to support the anti-democratic Texas lawsuit -- but ideology did too.
Seth Masket
Dec 9, 20203 min read
Trump Will Still Lead the GOP
Do not expect Trump's influence over the GOP to wane once he's out of office.
Seth Masket
Dec 8, 20204 min read
The Conversation Republicans Don’t Want to Have
The GOP needs to have a fight about whether Trump cost them the White House in 2020.
Seth Masket
Nov 23, 20203 min read
Trump's Achievement - The Complete Delegitimization of the Electoral College
By showing the abuses possible with the Electoral College, Trump has created a situation where both parties should want to kill it.
Seth Masket
Nov 8, 20204 min read
The Party of Self-Doubt
The winning party constructs narratives for a loss.
Jennifer N. Victor
Nov 4, 20204 min read
Democracy is failing. Here’s what to do about it.
Read the room. Forget about Biden and Trump for just a moment. Look around and take stock of what’s happening. Regardless of which...
The Staff
Nov 2, 20206 min read
A Global Perspective on Predicting the 2020 Election
By Stefan Wojcik, Ryan Kennedy, and David Lazer The US has never had an election like this before--but other countries have. Comparative...
Seth Masket
Oct 29, 20203 min read
The View "on the Ground"
Stories of what's happening "on the ground" are very useful at telling us what we want to hear.
The Staff
Oct 27, 20204 min read
Four out of Five Electoral Experts are Concerned about a Peaceful Transfer of Power
Experts see a high likelihood of unrest following the election, based on the Comparative Assessment of Electoral Risks (CAER).
The Staff
Oct 27, 202011 min read
Candidates, Campaigns, and Fundamentals in 2020
Julia Azari and Seth Masket discuss what 2020 has taught us about candidates, campaigns, and fundamentals.
Seth Masket
Oct 23, 20204 min read
For Democrats, There Is No Margin Big Enough To Sleep Well
2016 was traumatizing for many Democrats, who won't trust a polling lead again for years to come
Jennifer N. Victor
Oct 20, 20208 min read
But really, why should you believe in elections?
When elections are administered fairly, we agree to accept their outcomes out of a sense of faith, determination, and social contract.
Matthew Green
Oct 13, 20204 min read
Will 2020 be a “wave” election?
Predictive models indicate that Democrats will do well in November -- but that doesn’t mean an election “wave” is coming.
The Staff
Oct 9, 20204 min read
In 2020, the Ground Game is All Trump
Democrats usually have more field offices than Republicans. That's been completely reversed in 2020, thanks to Covid.
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